Human Population Growth Curve (SL IB Environmental Systems & Societies (ESS))

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Alistair

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Alistair

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Biology & Environmental Systems and Societies

Human Population Growth Curve

  • Population change rates vary with time

  • The global human population grew very slowly until 18th century
    • From 10,000 BCE to 1700 CE the average growth rate was just 0.04% per year

  • There has been exponential growth in the global human population since the mid 18th century
    • The global human population reached 8 billion in November 2022

  • Despite the growth rate falling, the world population is projected to continue to grow until approximately 2100 when it could reach more than 11 billion

world-population-total-and-growth

World population total and growth rate, 1750-2015 (with projections until 2100)

  • Population change rates also vary over space

  • Countries that went through Industrial Revolutions in the 18th and 19th centuries experienced rapid population growth
    • Today those countries are developed and their growth rates have fallen
    • In some cases, they have fallen so much that their total populations are in decline (e.g. Japan)

  • The fastest population growth today occurs in developing countries that are rapidly industrialising

global-pattern-of-population-growth

Global pattern of population growth rate (2021)

Increased Stress on Earth Systems

  • As the human population grows, there is an increased demand for natural resources such as food, water, and energy, putting stress on ecosystems and depleting these resources
  • The expansion of urban areas and infrastructure to accommodate the growing population leads to habitat destruction and fragmentation, affecting biodiversity and ecosystem functioning
  • Increased consumption patterns and production of goods result in higher levels of waste generation and pollution, further straining environmental systems and contributing to climate change
  • Growing population density in certain regions leads to increased pressure on land and can lead to issues such as deforestation, soil degradation, and loss of agricultural productivity
  • The demand for freshwater increases with population growth, leading to overexploitation of water sources, depletion of aquifers, and potential water scarcity in some regions
  • The increase in human activities, such as industrialisation and transportation, contributes to air and water pollution, greenhouse gas emissions, and overall environmental degradation
  • The need for more housing, infrastructure, and agricultural land often leads to encroachment on natural habitats, resulting in the displacement and extinction of wildlife species
  • The cumulative impact of human population growth on Earth's systems has implications for the long-term sustainability of resources, the resilience of ecosystems, and the overall health and well-being of both humans and the planet

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Alistair

Author: Alistair

Alistair graduated from Oxford University with a degree in Biological Sciences. He has taught GCSE/IGCSE Biology, as well as Biology and Environmental Systems & Societies for the International Baccalaureate Diploma Programme. While teaching in Oxford, Alistair completed his MA Education as Head of Department for Environmental Systems & Societies. Alistair has continued to pursue his interests in ecology and environmental science, recently gaining an MSc in Wildlife Biology & Conservation with Edinburgh Napier University.